I-SMART convergence approach yokuqinisekisa ukubandakanywa ekuyileni ukubeka iliso kunye nenkqubo yokulumkisa ukubonelela ngolwazi olulumkiso kwangethuba ukunciphisa iingozi zeentlekele.Ikhredithi: Iingozi zeNdalo kunye neeSayensi zeNkqubo yoMhlaba (2023).I-DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023
Ukubandakanya uluntu ekuphuhliseni inkqubo yesilumkiso sangexesha lokwenyani kunokunceda ukunciphisa impembelelo edla ngokutshabalalisa izikhukhula kubantu kunye nepropathi-ingakumbi kwimimandla yeentaba apho iziganeko zamanzi ezigqithisileyo ziyingxaki "embi", uphando olutsha lubonisa.
Izikhukhula ezikhanyayo ziba rhoqo kwaye zonakalise ubomi kunye nepropathi yabantu abasengozini, kodwa abaphandi bakholelwa ukuba ukusebenzisa indlela ye-SMART (jonga umfanekiso ongentla) ukubandakanya abo bahlala kwiindawo ezinjalo kuya kunceda ukubonakalisa kakuhle ingozi ezayo evela kwizikhukhula.
Iingcali zenzululwazi zikholelwa ukuba ukudibanisa idatha ye-meteorological kunye nolwazi malunga nendlela abantu abahlala ngayo kunye nokusebenza kwimimandla enjalo, kuya kunceda abaphathi beengozi zeentlekele, i-hydrologists, kunye neenjineli zenze iindlela ezingcono zokuphakamisa i-alamu phambi kwezikhukhula ezinkulu.
Ukupapasha iziphumo zabo kwiiNgozi zeNdalo kunye neeSayensi zeNkqubo yoMhlaba, iqela lophando lamazwe ngamazwe elikhokelwa yiYunivesithi yaseBirmingham likholelwa ukuba ukudibanisa isayensi, umgaqo-nkqubo kunye neendlela ezikhokelwa nguluntu zendawo kuya kunceda ukwenza izigqibo zokusingqongileyo ezihambelana bhetele kwimeko yendawo.
Umbhali-mbhali u-Tahmina Yasmin, i-Postdoctoral Research Fellow kwiYunivesithi yaseBirmingham, wathi, "Ingxaki 'engendawo' ngumceli mngeni wentlalo okanye wenkcubeko enzima okanye engenakwenzeka ukuyisombulula ngenxa yendalo yayo enzima, edibeneyo. Sikholelwa ukuba ukudibanisa inzululwazi yentlalo kunye idatha yemozulu iya kunceda ukuchonga iindawo ezingaziwayo zephazili xa kuyilwa inkqubo yokulumkisa kwangethuba.
"Ukunxibelelana ngcono noluntu kunye nokuhlalutya izinto zentlalo ezichongiweyo luluntu olusemngciphekweni-umzekelo, ukuhlaliswa ngokungekho mthethweni ecaleni komlambo okanye kwiindawo ezisemaphandleni-kuya kunceda abo baqhuba umgaqo-nkqubo ukuba baqonde ngcono umngcipheko obangelwa yi-hydrometeorological extremes kunye nokucwangcisa impendulo yezikhukhula kunye nokunciphisa okubonelela uluntu. ngokhuseleko oluphuculweyo.
Abaphandi bathi ukusebenzisa indlela ye-SMART kunceda abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo ukuba baveze ukuba sesichengeni kunye nomngcipheko woluntu, ngokusebenzisa iseti yemigaqo esisiseko:
● S= Ukwabelana ngokuqondwa kweengozi eziqinisekisa ukuba iqela ngalinye labantu ekuhlaleni limelwe kwaye uluhlu olubanzi lweendlela zokuqokelela idatha zisetyenziswa.
● M= Ukubeka iliso kwimingcipheko kunye nokuseka iinkqubo zokulumkisa ezakha ukuthembana kunye nokutshintshiselana ngolwazi olubalulekileyo lwengozi-ukunceda ukugcina inkqubo yokubikezela.
● A= IsakhiwoAngoqeqesho kunye nemisebenzi yophuhliso lwezakhono ezizinzisa ukuqonda ngexesha lokwenyani lemozulu kunye nolwazi lokulumkisa ngezikhukula.
● RT= Ebonisa ukucwangciswa kwangaphambiliRiintshukumo zokuphendulaTime kunye nezicwangciso ezibanzi zolawulo lwentlekele kunye nokufuduka ngokusekelwe kwisilumkiso esiveliswe yi-EWS.
Umbhali-mbhali uDavid Hannah, uNjingalwazi weHydrology kunye noSihlalo we-UNESCO kwiSayensi zaManzi kwiYunivesithi yaseBirmingham, wathi, "Ukuphuhlisa ukuthembela koluntu kwii-arhente zikarhulumente kunye noqikelelo olujoliswe kubuchwepheshe, ngelixa kusetyenziswa iindlela ezikhokelwa luluntu zokuqokelela ulwazi kwiintaba ezinqabileyo zedatha. imimandla ibalulekile ekukhuseleni abantu abasesichengeni.
"Ukusebenzisa le ndlela ye-SMART yokubandakanya uluntu ekuphuhliseni iinkqubo zokulumkisa kwangaphambili ezibandakanyayo kunye nenjongo ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kunceda ukuphuhlisa umthamo, ukulungelelaniswa, kunye nokuqina xa ujongene nokugqithiswa kwamanzi amaninzi, njengezikhukhula kunye nesomiso, kunye nokunyuka kokungaqiniseki phantsi kwenguqu yehlabathi."
Iinkcukacha ezithe xaxe:UTahmina Yasmin et al, Unxibelelwano olufutshane: Ukubandakanywa ekuyileni inkqubo yesilumkiso kwangethuba ukulungiselela ukomelela kwezikhukula, iiNgozi zeNdalo kunye neNzululwazi yeNkqubo yoMhlaba (2023).I-DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023
Inikezelwe nguKwiYunivesithi yaseBirmingham
Ixesha lokuposa: Apr-10-2023